0:00 I looked at the the levels of sovereign 0:02 debt owed by the United States and 0:03 Britain and I looked at the numbers and 0:05 I thought this guy these guys are never 0:07 going to repay. 0:08 >> Do you think there's a second a 0:10 potential second crisis like that 0:11 coming? That's what I'm worried about. 0:12 >> Yeah, it's imminent. 0:13 >> It's imminent. 0:14 >> Yeah. If I had a lot of money to bet 0:17 now, I would bet on it. And they said to 0:19 him, "Where did you find 11 billion to 0:21 bail out AIG?" 0:24 Um and he said, "Oh, that's very 0:26 simple." said, "We have something at the 0:28 Federal Reserve that all offices have 0:30 got which is called a computer." And we 0:33 entered the number $11 billion. There is 0:35 a lot of zeros into that and we made a 0:38 transfer to AIG. He was the first 0:41 governor to say this is where money 0:42 comes from. 0:43 >> I feel like a lot of people are 0:44 struggling now and I think it can get a 0:46 lot worse. I'm feel so little confidence 0:48 that there's anyone out there who 0:50 actually does want to fix this. 0:51 >> Yeah. People lost their jobs. They lost 0:53 their homes. They lost hope. And they 0:56 turned to a strong man because the 0:58 strong man is going to defend them. And 1:00 what does the strong man do? He takes 1:02 them into a catastrophic war. And 1:04 millions of them die. So, you know, the 1:07 problem is what do we do with this 1:09 frustration and this anger? 1:17 >> Nice to meet an 1:18 >> Yeah, good to meet you. very excited to 1:20 talk to you. 1:22 >> I want to learn about how you convince 1:24 some very rich people to cancel 100 1:27 billion of debt. 1:28 >> Right. Yeah. 1:29 >> That's where I want to start. 1:30 >> Okay. 1:31 >> How do you do that? 1:32 >> Well, first of all, you have to identify 1:35 your target. And when I got involved in 1:37 this, I got hired by a bunch of NOS's to 1:39 do this job. and they said, um, we'd 1:42 like you to go to Washington and get the 1:44 debt canled because most of it is 1:46 decided at the IMF and the World Bank 1:48 and the Paris Club and and they all 1:50 gather, all the bankers gather in 1:52 Washington every twice a year. And I 1:54 said, look, I'm a really powerful 1:56 cookie, but even I couldn't do that, you 1:58 know. I said, what you have to do is you 2:00 have to mobilize the public. and they 2:02 say, "Oh, you can't do that because the 2:03 public aren't interested in finance and 2:06 money and sovereign debt and, you know, 2:08 compound interest and, you know, 2:10 bilateral and multilateral, you know, 2:12 all of this stuff is far too 2:14 complicated." I said, "I don't believe 2:15 that." I said, you know, it's not rocket 2:17 science and it can be explained and when 2:20 you explain it. Anyway, so then to my 2:22 surprise, one of the guys that appointed 2:24 me was a very wealthy man and I had to 2:27 meet them in the Christian aid in 2:29 Mayfair of all places. And I came out 2:32 and my husband said, "Oh, you messed 2:33 that up, didn't you?" I said, "Yeah, I 2:35 think I did." Cuz I I told him, you 2:36 know, they couldn't just go to 2:37 Washington and get the debt council. 2:39 Anyway, as a result, I get hired and I 2:42 decide that right, what we're going to 2:43 do is a big education campaign. we're 2:45 going to explain this stuff to the 2:46 people and mobilize them because I don't 2:49 believe people act until they feel 2:51 empowered, until they understand stuff. 2:54 And so we started and um and then I get 2:58 approached by a woman who says, "I've 3:00 had a vision from God." I said, "Oh, 3:02 God." She said, "Yeah, God has, you 3:05 know, told me that I have to help 3:07 Jubilees." So I said, "Well, that's 3:08 fine." Then I said we we haven't got a 3:10 proper office and we need at least in 3:12 those days that was 1996 3:16 97 we need at least 30,000 to get going 3:19 and you know we need a play and oh I 3:22 said the worst of all is we need 3:23 charitable status and you've got to you 3:25 know someone's got to deal with the 3:26 bureaucracy and it's not me. She said 3:28 don't worry. She came back 6 weeks 3:30 later. She had the money. She had the 3:33 place and she had, you know, charitable 3:35 status. And after that, I took her very 3:38 seriously. She's a wonderful woman. 3:40 Anyway, then um we began just basically 3:45 kind of breaking down the story into 3:48 bites, you know, that people could 3:51 understand. And we had a policy of 3:53 writing briefing notes on one side of a 3:55 page, bullet points, and drafting them 3:59 in a way that was an argument, you know, 4:01 as if you were a lawyer in front of a 4:03 court and you were trying to make the 4:04 case. So you don't just spew out 4:06 numbers, you use numbers as part of your 4:09 argument. 4:11 And we began and I trapesed around the 4:13 country and in little polls. I'd meet 4:16 five people then there'd be 50 and 4:18 eventually there were 500 people in the 4:21 audiences and so on and then people 4:23 started to say look this is a global 4:25 problem it's not a national problem so 4:27 then we branched out and it became 4:29 Jubilee 2000 let's cancel the debt by 4:31 2000 and it became international and 4:33 then I just had this exhausting period 4:35 where I traveled from Japan through to 4:38 Peru back to Africa down across to parts 4:42 of Asia and it was just exhausting and 4:45 you But we we got a lot of people 4:47 involved behind a brand which was 4:49 Jubilee 2000 with a very clear ask a 4:52 demand. Cancel the debt. Cancel this 4:55 much debt by the year 2000. 4:58 And the next thing the IMF was saying to 5:00 me, my god, what's going on? You know, 5:01 wherever we go around the world, these 5:03 little flags come up saying Jubilee 2000 5:06 and you know, cancel the debt and go, 5:08 you know, so they then had to start 5:09 beefing themselves up to deal with that. 5:11 The most interesting was I met a 5:14 Treasury official and he said to me, "We 5:16 don't know what's going on inside the 5:17 Treasury." Gordon Brown was tre was a 5:20 chancellor at the time. He said, "We 5:22 get, you know, thousands of letters and 5:25 the chancellor had to hire people to 5:27 kind of respond to this public outrage 5:29 because it's so much of it." He says, 5:31 "But you know, we get letters on pink 5:32 pieces of paper with a bunch of roses in 5:35 the corner and it says, "Dear sir, dear 5:38 Chancellor, I understand that in 5:40 calculating Uganda's debt, you chose as 5:43 a cutff point 1983. 5:46 Can I say that I find that entirely 5:48 unreasonable blah blah?" He said, "Who 5:50 the hell explained to her that Uganda's 5:54 cutoff date for the for the cancellation 5:56 of the debt was 1983?" I said, "We did 5:59 it." You know, it's not rocket science, 6:01 but can you just picture that woman 6:03 sitting at her kitchen table, right? And 6:05 then the chancellor writes back to her 6:06 and has to explain why they chose 1983 6:09 as the cutoff date for Uganda. 6:11 >> So by then she's mad as hell, you know, 6:13 and she gets on the street and she turns 6:15 up at the G8 summit in Birmingham, 1998. 6:19 And the the Treasury, this is a long 6:21 story. 6:21 >> No, it's fine. Tell me. I'moring. I'm 6:23 prepared. 6:24 So the so the so the Treasury and the 6:27 Foreign Office decide this is going to 6:29 be awful. There's going to be an 6:31 unpleasant crowd and they're going to be 6:33 going after the G8 leaders and they want 6:36 this is the Birmingham G8 some they want 6:38 it all to be pretty and nice and they 6:40 put up posters, you know, Betty go and 6:42 have your hair done. The G8 leaders are 6:44 coming to town and that sort of stuff. 6:45 So they want it all to be like that. And 6:48 um and we said, "Right, no, we we're 6:52 going." And then we'd had a big argument 6:53 with Germany, and Germany got massive 6:55 debt relief after the war in 1953, 6:58 but the German uh ambassador in Britain 7:01 said, "No, we didn't." Oh, no, we 7:04 didn't. You don't know what you're 7:06 talking about. You know, so I get 7:08 summoned into the the office, 7:10 international development office, and I 7:13 get told that to take my troops off the 7:15 lawn or something, you know. I mean, it 7:17 was just ridiculous. And I said, "Look, 7:20 go and do the homework. We've done the 7:22 homework. We know a professor who's an 7:24 expert in sovereign debt, and he's he's 7:26 explained to us about the 1952-53 7:29 debt relief deal, negotiated in London, 7:32 by the way. It's called the London 7:33 Agreement for Germany." And we'd started 7:35 talking to the German churches and we'd 7:37 said, "Give German, give African 7:41 children a future in the way that German 7:44 children were given a future in 1953." 7:47 Brilliant. 7:48 >> That riled them. They were so angry. So 7:50 they complained to um Blair and said, 7:53 you know, we're going to be embarrassed 7:55 at this summit. And so Blair then got 7:56 the troops out and the police in 7:58 Birmingham were like, "Yeah, you can't 8:01 go here. Can't go." So, we decided to 8:02 form a human chain and they said, "Yes, 8:05 you can have a human chain, but you're 8:06 going to be over there and then you're 8:09 going to be over there and you're going 8:10 nowhere near the world leaders, you 8:12 know." 8:14 And then on the morning, I just thought 8:15 they've killed my campaign, they've 8:17 killed this demonstration. Nobody's 8:19 going to turn up because, you know, 8:21 they'd been so aggressive about against 8:24 it. And I remember standing on a on a in 8:28 front of the hall where we were based 8:29 and looking at the railway station and 8:31 about 10:00 the doors open and 8:34 thousands. Now we think there were about 8:36 100,000 people there. The police say 8:39 there were only 70,000 but you know it's 8:41 the usual story. 8:43 >> And um at this point Blair had taken the 8:47 world leaders and flown them out to a 8:49 castle in the countryside because he was 8:51 embarrassed. They didn't want to 8:52 embarrass them with this demonstration. 8:55 Anyway, so we got there. So, as a 8:57 result, there were 3,000 journalists 8:59 left in Birmingham and with nothing to 9:01 do, there were no leaders. So, they 9:03 phoned us up and said, "What the hell is 9:04 going on? Why are all these people 9:06 here?" So, let's talk to you about 9:07 sovereign debt. 9:08 >> Yeah. 9:09 >> So, next thing I get a call from 9:11 Alistister Campbell. 9:13 The prime minister would like to meet 9:15 you. Uh, and prime minister is flying 9:18 back into Birmingham to meet you. 9:22 So, we said, "Fine, great." and we 9:24 didn't we said look if you don't cancel 9:26 the debt we're going to make a stink you 9:27 know anyway as a result they began 9:29 cancelelling debts 9:30 >> so who was cancelelling the debt just 9:31 the major countries 9:32 >> so no the point was this was mainly 9:34 official debt peter this was um it's 9:38 called bilateral debt this is the debt 9:39 that Britain had lent to say an African 9:42 country and then Japan had lent money to 9:44 that country and then so had Germany and 9:46 so had the United States Japan is one of 9:48 the biggest creditors actually so then 9:51 you had to look at the whole story of 9:53 that country's debt. It's quite 9:55 complicated really. Um yeah and and so 9:58 it's owned by public in so the 10:00 institutions are the governments that 10:02 you know British said you know the 10:04 British government guarantees the 10:06 exports of for example armament 10:09 manufacturers and one of the things we 10:11 found out was that there were armament 10:14 factories in Newcastle that were 10:16 flogging um weapons to the Nigerian 10:19 dictatorships basically and the the 10:22 government is offering them a guarantee 10:25 against their loss. says, "Should the 10:27 old bad dictator not repay the debt and 10:30 it's it was called the export credit 10:32 guarantee department." They've changed 10:33 the name because we so lambasted this 10:37 this outfit. So they were getting 10:39 subsidies from the taxpayer. You know, 10:41 the gray tomatoes back home was not 10:45 being subsidized by the taxpayer. But if 10:46 you were selling 10:48 weapons to the Nigerians, you were you 10:50 had your losses guaranteed. So what 10:52 would happen is of course the dictator 10:54 would default on the loan and then the 10:58 British government would go to the Paris 11:00 Club and the Paris Club is where all the 11:02 creditors meet and they sit around the 11:04 table and they summon Nigeria and say 11:06 look will you pay and um and so you know 11:10 so the big institutions are the 11:11 sovereign lenders but then the Paris 11:14 Club is terribly important but so is the 11:16 IMF and the World Bank because they also 11:18 make loans. So we had to deal with these 11:20 big bad guys, you know, and I said, 11:22 "Look, it's no good going and banging 11:24 your head against a wall in Washington, 11:26 you know, the IMF's wall. You got to 11:29 lobby, you know, your Treasury 11:31 secretaries at home and give them a hard 11:33 time then because they're on the board 11:35 of the IMF. Those that's the real 11:36 target. Leave the bureaucrats alone. 11:38 They've got no power." And that was 11:40 quite a hard shift in thinking for the 11:44 NGO sector, if you like. 11:46 >> I must have loved you. Well, you know, 11:48 there were times, I mean, I I have a 11:50 lovehate relationship with most of the 11:52 because what happened was after we'd 11:53 closed up shop. Um there was this huge 11:57 uh uh uh this huge um UN conference on 12:03 the climate in Copenhagen and the um 12:07 the NOS's the green NOS's came to me and 12:09 said, "What would you advise us to do in 12:11 order to make an impact?" I said, number 12:13 one, you've got to have a powerful 12:14 cookie like me 12:17 offering leadership and and setting 12:20 targets and mobilizing the groups, 12:23 bringing everybody together over our 12:25 dead bodies. So what happened was 150 12:28 NOS's went to Copelagen with their 12:30 different stories and nobody heard the 12:33 word they said really. Of course they 12:34 did. 12:34 >> And the point was, you know, I was I 12:37 wasn't perfect. I made mistakes and I 12:39 can be a difficult old woman really. Um 12:42 but but the point was um it was 12:46 essential to kind of focus in on the ask 12:49 and on um the way in which we were going 12:52 to and who we were going to bring in on 12:54 the story and the branding and all of 12:56 that stuff we had to get right. And it 12:58 took not just me but the team at the 13:01 front, you know, the leadership team 13:02 because everybody else has got lots of, 13:04 you know, so Christian Aid was only too 13:06 glad to put Jubilee 2000 all over their 13:09 their building and and you know, only 13:12 too glad somebody had given them a task. 13:14 They they had so many other things they 13:15 were doing and and oh right, 30 days to 13:19 the millennium, this is what you've got 13:20 to do. It's just was really, you know, 13:22 good way of organizing. 13:25 But as I say, it it riled a few people. 13:28 >> I wonder if those people got straight 13:30 back into debt again after they were 13:31 cleared. 13:32 >> So So what happened was that for a while 13:35 it was hugely beneficial and some 13:37 countries like Uganda 13:40 um and Tanzania made good use of it. But 13:43 the problem is Peter that the creditors 13:45 love an empty balance sheet, right? 13:48 >> They love it when there's just nothing 13:50 on the balance sheet. So they all piled 13:52 in. So, and especially into Uganda, the 13:54 next day the World Bank was saying, 13:55 "Right, well, you haven't got any debts 13:57 now. You haven't got any problems. Let 13:58 me offer you a loan." And um and that is 14:02 the really big problem because it's 14:04 fantastically lucrative to lend money to 14:06 poor countries because the rate of 14:07 interest is so much higher than 14:09 elsewhere 14:10 >> and you get to take their assets as they 14:11 don't 14:11 >> and you take their assets, you take 14:13 their airlines and they whatever assets 14:15 they've got, their ships, their yacht 14:17 sailing out in the seas, high seas and 14:19 so on. um or you try to um and uh and 14:24 you know I mean it's it's kind of really 14:28 lucrative and you know whereas at the 14:30 domestic level we have bankruptcy law so 14:32 if someone can't pay and they're 14:34 starving to death like Charles Dickens's 14:36 dad was they put him in Marshall Z 14:38 prison in those days but after that they 14:40 thought you know he's in prison 14:42 he's not economically active let's get 14:44 him out of prison back on the street and 14:46 start again so we have a bankruptcy 14:48 process in in at the domestic level, but 14:51 we don't have one at the international 14:53 level. We can't say Haiti is collapsed 14:56 and it's, you know, falling apart and 14:59 it's full of gangsters and whatever it 15:02 and it's in no place whatsoever. We've 15:04 got to help this country stabilize and 15:06 come back again. But no, instead we say, 15:09 let's go and loot some more. 15:11 >> This show is brought to you by my lead 15:12 sponsor, Iron, the AI cloud for the next 15:15 big thing. Iron builds and operates next 15:17 generation data centers and delivers 15:19 cuttingedge GPU infrastructure all 15:22 powered by renewable energy. Now if you 15:24 need access to scalable GPU clusters or 15:27 are simply curious about who is powering 15:29 the future of AI check out iron.com to 15:32 learn more which is irre.com. 15:36 I do worry about debt a lot now. 15:38 >> Yeah, 15:39 >> I do worry about it. I 15:42 I think about I mean we just made a show 15:45 before you came in where we were talking 15:46 about the 40 trillion of debt that the 15:48 US has and the 10 trillion they've got 15:50 to roll over this year and the 15:52 >> 3 trillion of debt we have here now and 15:55 the way it really seems to just be 15:57 socialized to the public. I don't I 16:00 don't actually think the public really 16:02 generally understands the role that debt 16:04 plays. No, 16:05 >> I think they think of debt as um 16:07 something they use to buy a car or a 16:09 house and the government has some debt, 16:10 but they could, you know, that's fine. I 16:12 don't think they realize they actually 16:13 pay for the debt through higher prices. 16:15 >> Well, you know, I'd like to contest 16:17 that, you know. Let's 16:18 >> contest it. 16:19 >> Yeah. So, the point is it's I mean, I I 16:21 I love the whole question of debt 16:24 because it's about political power 16:25 essentially. It's really all about 16:27 power. But what's also fascinating is 16:30 that there was a time when we did not 16:32 have a developed credit system. And the 16:35 whole point about the credit system is 16:38 that it's a kind of miraculous thing. 16:40 You know, when you go to the bank um to 16:43 borrow 3 million quid to buy a 16:45 one-bedroom flat in London, 16:48 there's no money in the bank. 16:51 What there is is a piece of paper which 16:53 you have to sign which says I promise to 16:55 pay by this date and this is and at this 16:59 interest rate and I'm offering you this 17:01 collateral and with that boom you get 17:04 them 3 million quid no questions asked 17:06 you know 17:07 >> press a button on a computer 17:08 >> sorry 17:09 >> they press a button on a computer 17:10 >> they press button on the computer and 17:11 they try and they do this at the Federal 17:14 Reserve as well and um Bernani gave the 17:18 first ever television interview um ever 17:21 given by a fed governor to this 17:23 wonderful guy Scott P who's just been 17:25 sacked by the new owners of whatever 17:30 uh institution he was part of. But Beni 17:33 gave this interview and they said to 17:35 him, "Where did you find 11 billion to 17:37 bail out AIG?" 17:40 Um and he said, "Oh, that's very 17:42 simple." He said, "We have something at 17:44 the Federal Reserve that all officers 17:46 have got which is called a computer." 17:48 and we entered the number 11 billion 17:50 dollars. There is a lot of zeros into 17:52 that and we made a transfer to AIG but 17:56 in return they had to offer collateral. 17:58 They had to repay over interest and over 18:01 a period of time and in fact the Fed 18:03 made a profit out of that. But you know 18:06 he was the first governor to say this is 18:08 where money comes from. I enter numbers 18:10 into a computer. It's not a simple 18:12 process because you got to have 18:13 collateral because you got to make a 18:15 promise because you do have to pay more 18:18 because there's a rate of interest and 18:19 so on. But anyway, that that process is 18:22 wonderful thing. It means that I can 18:24 without enough capital, I can borrow 18:27 enough money to buy a house and that is 18:29 an amazing thing. So it means that we 18:31 can we can tackle the climate if 18:33 necessary. Um because you know the 18:37 climate, you know, protecting us from 18:40 the climate is going to require 18:42 retrofitting housing. It's going to 18:44 require dealing with flooding and 18:46 droughts and god knows what else. And 18:48 that's going to require a lot of money. 18:50 And we can do that thanks to the 18:53 monetary system. But it is um Thank you. 18:58 We can do that thanks to the monetary 19:00 system, but there are limits to our 19:01 capacities. There's the limit of whether 19:03 or not we haven't already screwed up the 19:05 climate enough not to be able to do too 19:08 much more. There is the limit of our 19:10 intelligence and of our physical 19:13 abilities and so on. The our capacity 19:15 has finite limits but within that money 19:18 is not a problem. Right. Now, in the 19:20 case of the United States and it's $40 19:22 trillion, 19:24 those the trillion dollars are as a 19:28 result of the American government 19:30 borrowing and the the the American 19:33 government is borrowed dollars and it's 19:35 borrowed dollars from the American 19:37 people. Mainly the American people know 19:40 that putting their money in the Fed is 19:42 just about the safest place they could 19:43 keep their money for their retirement 19:46 and so on. And then they the Japanese 19:49 and the Chinese and the Brits all offer 19:52 uh to lend money to lend dollars to to 19:55 the US as well. So they've got all these 19:57 dollar bills and the fact is they they 20:00 they accumulate that and they they they 20:04 should use that for investing in the 20:06 United States. And the wonderful thing 20:08 about it is that with that money by 20:10 borrowing they can invest. Now our 20:12 government at the moment has say oh we 20:14 can't possibly borrow any more money. 20:16 it, you know, because otherwise we'll go 20:18 bust. It'll be the end of the world and 20:19 that's nonsense. They could borrow right 20:22 now because their credit is sound if you 20:24 like. But there's a sort of ideology 20:27 which says you're not allowed to do 20:28 that. But the point is with that money 20:31 the government should invest and create 20:33 new jobs uh new uh entrepreneurs, new 20:38 companies and all of those jobs 20:42 uh entrepreneurs and companies going to 20:44 pay tax revenues and they're going to 20:46 enough pay a tax enough tax revenues to 20:49 repay the initial investment by the 20:52 state. 20:52 >> But this is how it should work. 20:54 >> This is how it would work. However, if 20:56 you allow the economy to weaken, if you 20:58 mess up the economy and there ain't 21:00 enough jobs and people don't have enough 21:02 income, uh they have to work two jobs 21:05 and so on and they, you know, they 21:07 really and their health costs are very 21:10 expensive and so on and so forth. If you 21:12 run your economy in that way, you find 21:14 that the returns don't come back to the 21:17 treasury and that then builds up your 21:20 deficit and your debt. So the debt is a 21:24 function of the weakness of the American 21:26 economy. When the American economy 21:28 recovers and prospers, when there's full 21:30 employment, when people have decent 21:32 incomes, when companies are making 21:35 profits, boom, the debt goes down as 21:38 night follows day. So when you worry 21:41 about the debt, the key thing to worry 21:43 is not the debt. The key thing to worry 21:45 is about how do we fix the American 21:46 economy so that people begin to prosper? 21:49 And at the moment, they're not 21:50 prospering. They are 21:51 >> and the British economy 21:52 >> and the British economy the British and 21:54 investment um Peter which is really one 21:57 of the most important tools the state 21:59 has both private and public investment 22:02 in Britain is the lowest amongst all the 22:04 OECD countries. China isn't sitting on 22:07 her butt saying oh dear the debt is a 22:10 terrible thing. Oh dear it's the end of 22:12 the world. China is investing in her 22:15 future. And that's because the Communist 22:17 Party can't afford to have a social 22:19 uprising. They can't afford to have a 22:21 social revolt. You know, they're not 22:23 democratic, but they have to pay 22:24 attention to those billions of Chinese 22:27 who can be can be difficult. So, they're 22:30 investing in their people's future and 22:32 in particular tackling climate breakdown 22:35 because they have big problems with the 22:37 deserts in the north of the country and 22:39 so on. Um, 22:40 >> but don't we have that risk here as 22:41 well? we have it as well. But we we 22:44 pretend we are we pretend our 22:46 governments pretend we're helpless in 22:48 dealing with this that we have to wait 22:50 for the Bank of England to think about 22:52 whether or not we can have affordable um 22:55 rates of interest for our bond issues. 22:58 We have to think about whether or not 22:59 foreigners will be able to buy those 23:01 bonds. This is all rubbish. You know um 23:04 the the Chinese say sorry we are going 23:07 to manage a financial system. One of 23:10 their tools is capital controls. We will 23:13 manage how much money floods into the 23:14 country and how much floods out. We're 23:16 not going to leave that to something 23:17 called the market. We're going to manage 23:20 that. Furthermore, we're going to manage 23:22 investment. We're going to give funding 23:24 to the local authorities and we're going 23:26 to encourage them to use it to tackle 23:28 climate breakdown. We're sitting on our 23:31 hands saying, "No, we've we've got no 23:33 money. You know, we're only the fifth 23:35 richest country in the world, but 23:36 somehow we have no money and we can't 23:38 create new money." And the debt is a 23:40 terrible thing for me. The really 23:42 terrible thing is the fact that people 23:44 in Britain are on such low wages. 23:47 >> Um, and in real terms, their wages have 23:49 been stagnant and falling since, well, 23:52 at least since 2010, but since the GLA 23:55 financial crisis and all the time their 23:58 costs have risen, energy prices rising 24:01 and so on and so so forth, you know, and 24:04 >> why 24:04 >> and so and people are mad as hell. And 24:07 you know the thing is that that we need 24:08 to understand is why are people in 24:10 France angry, in Britain, in the United 24:13 States, in India, in Hungary, in Russia, 24:16 why are they all mad at the same time? 24:18 Why are they all demanding authoritarian 24:22 leaderships at the same time? And the 24:24 reason is they're all confronted by one 24:27 global uh financial system which is 24:30 generating instability and insecurity 24:32 around the world. And people are saying, 24:34 "Please protect me from that stuff." 24:36 Right. 24:36 >> Is it designed for that though? 24:38 >> What the the system? 24:40 >> Yeah. I mean, is is does the instability 24:42 benefit the credit the creditors? 24:46 >> Some people are making loads of money 24:48 out of this. Loads of money. This is And 24:50 everybody can see it. It's not even 24:51 secret. 24:52 >> It used to be hidden. 24:53 >> It used to be hidden. No, no, no. These 24:55 new billionaires are completely brazen. 24:58 Really? Yeah. people love the 25:01 billionaires love capital mobility. 25:04 I can be Facebook or I can be Amazon and 25:08 I can invest in uh Britain and I can 25:11 reap massive profits and push over the 25:14 boundary and into Ireland into a tax 25:16 haven. 25:18 You know, that's heaven. And the 25:19 government won't bat an Ireland. And 25:21 they're not going to be unkind to me 25:23 because I'll go back and say, "Sorry, 25:24 I'll take Amazon out of your country if 25:26 you're nasty to me." 25:27 >> Which they won't. which they won't. And 25:30 so, and our government pretends to be 25:32 pretends to be helpless really. And 25:35 that's for me that pretend impotence is 25:39 the thing that angers me the most. 25:40 >> Is it more that they're just 25:41 incompetent? 25:43 >> They actually don't understand what 25:45 they're doing. 25:45 >> I think they don't understand how it 25:46 works. And and that for that I blame the 25:49 economists really. The economists have 25:51 constructed a system and an architecture 25:53 global and and domestic which is doing 25:57 this which is funneling money from 25:59 everybody up to the few 26:02 >> and they're they too are sitting on 26:04 their hand saying nothing to do with us. 26:06 You know, it was one I loved the Queen 26:08 of England in in whenever it was 2007 89 26:12 saying to the London School of 26:14 Economics, why did you guys not predict 26:16 this crisis? And they were totally 26:19 annoyed, afronted that you should even 26:21 ask. It's not their business to to 26:23 predict a crisis, you know, they they're 26:25 doing some theoretical stuff that that 26:28 they got their PhD for and that they've 26:30 done very well in. and what don't 26:33 involve me in the messy business and how 26:35 the economy is run but they are the 26:37 architects of that that economy 26:39 >> you predicted it 26:41 >> yes and I predicted it because I'd been 26:43 working on sovereign debt I was in a 26:45 very privileged position you know I was 26:47 like it was an eagle-eyed view of the 26:49 world and and my pals at home were just 26:53 obsessed by the if you like the micro 26:56 the local economy the domestic economy 26:59 but I had I was very privileged I could 27:01 And I was very worried about the levels 27:03 of sovereign debt owed by the poorest 27:05 countries until I looked at the levels 27:07 of sovereign debt owed by the United 27:09 States and Britain. And I, you know, I I 27:11 remember the moment in a sense of 27:14 consciousness when I'd been so focused 27:16 on the poor countries. I'd ignored 27:18 Britain and the United States. And I 27:21 looked at the numbers and I thought this 27:22 guy these guys are never going to repay 27:24 either the private but mostly the 27:26 private debt. the public debt invariably 27:30 will get repaid because the economies 27:32 are too big and United States is far too 27:34 big and powerful ever to default on its 27:37 debt actually unless they really screw 27:39 it up. But um that's not the problem. 27:41 The problem was the private debt. People 27:43 have borrowed crazy money. I love Did 27:46 you see the big short? 27:47 >> Of course. Yeah. 27:48 >> You know the scene with the with the um 27:50 pole dancer? 27:51 >> Yes. 27:51 >> It that tells the whole story cuz when 27:53 the banker says to her, "Have you got a 27:55 mortgage?" She says, "Me? I haven't got 27:57 one mortgage. I've got five mortgages. 28:00 >> Yeah. But also there is 28:01 >> And that's when he realizes it's all 28:03 gone wrong. 28:03 >> I mean, the film's brilliant, but it 28:04 also has that really sad ending where 28:06 you see the family pack up their car. 28:08 They've lost their house. 28:09 >> Yeah. 28:10 >> And there's like a reality to this, 28:12 which 28:12 >> Yeah. And then worse still, Mr. 28:14 President Obama says, "We mustn't take 28:16 the law into our own hands and make sure 28:18 the guys who screwed these families up 28:20 pay." 28:21 >> Yeah. 28:22 >> Let's not mess that. And Mr. Professor 28:24 Larry Summers, another very clever 28:26 economist. Let's not unsettle the 28:28 banking system. Let's not We're worried 28:30 about the secondary banking system in 28:32 particular. You know, care those 28:34 families, they'll find a way. They'll 28:36 find a caravan somewhere. 28:38 >> Bring something with Larry Fink. 28:40 >> But he owns their properties. 28:42 >> Yeah. 28:42 >> It you did predict that first global 28:46 financial I think about was it 2006 you 28:48 wrote the book? 28:48 >> So I wrote the book in 20056. Yeah, it 28:51 was published in September 2006 and I 28:53 had a lot of trouble with the publisher. 28:55 I said, "You can't call it the coming 28:57 first world debt crisis because by 28:59 September 2006, it would have come 29:02 >> and then my book will be out of date." I 29:04 said I was so wrong, you know. I I just 29:08 watched it just carried on and on and it 29:12 wasn't until 9th of August 2007 that the 29:15 floods, you know, the the 29:17 >> Was it Leman? 29:19 >> No, that wasn't Leman. even took until 29:21 October 2008 and between August 2002 29:25 people wandered around think there's 29:27 been some little 29:29 >> you know hiccup in the banking system 29:31 nothing much you know the governors all 29:34 they've sorted it all out really it was 29:36 only when layman went that people woke 29:37 up to the fact this is major you know it 29:40 was extraordinary I watched that I I 29:42 remember going to the United States in 29:44 January 2008 and reading the New York 29:46 Times I thought these people don't know 29:49 what's happening and And I had friends 29:50 who at that time had a load of money in 29:52 the money markets, you know, and I said, 29:54 "If I were you, I wouldn't leave them 29:56 there." 29:57 >> I bought my first family home. I can't 29:59 remember it was June, I think it was 30:00 June 2006 or June 2007, 30:03 >> right? 30:03 >> Where wherever you see the chart, I 30:05 bought the peak and it dropped and it 30:07 took 14 years or something to get back. 30:10 Do you think there's a second a 30:12 potential second crisis like that 30:13 coming? That's what I'm worried about. 30:15 >> Yeah, it's imminent. 30:16 >> It's imminent. 30:17 >> Yeah. 30:19 I mean I 30:19 >> even it could be a couple of years 30:21 >> and and you know I couldn't get it right 30:23 last time and I can't I mean if you can 30:25 get the timing right then as you know 30:27 you could make loads of money 30:29 >> but if I were if I had a lot of money to 30:31 bet now I would bet on it and people are 30:34 I mean on is it Kelshi and uh 30:37 >> and these other poly market I think it 30:39 is 30:40 >> they're betting on it all um and you 30:42 know lots of people are predicting and 30:44 the thing is persevering and it's been 30:48 persevering mainly because of stock 30:49 market delusionism. I mean, I've never 30:52 understood the stock market and I don't 30:54 think it's possible to understand it, 30:55 but the fact the stock market was 30:57 rattled last week by one by the Treasury 31:00 Secretary Bessant screwing up over bonds 31:03 buybacks shows that the bond market uh 31:07 the stock market really doesn't know 31:08 what's going on. You know, they don't 31:10 know how bad it is, but they are 31:11 beginning to wake up to it. But for me, 31:13 the key thing is the rate of interest is 31:16 whether or not the Fed puts up rates. 31:19 And I'm my friends are all shocked at me 31:22 because I'm with Mr. Trump on how you've 31:24 got to have low rates really. Um, and 31:28 the problem with the year bond deals 31:30 rising and rates rising is they become 31:33 like a dagger pointed at a balloon, 31:36 right, at a bubble. M 31:38 >> and it in two I mean if you look at I've 31:41 done a 31:42 >> blog today if I may 31:44 >> promote my Substack um thing and I've 31:46 got a chart in there of the way in which 31:49 Greenspan ratcheted up um the interest 31:52 rate and it's and I say it looks like a 31:54 dagger really and I mean and this went 31:56 on for about a year and a half before 31:59 finally the bubble burst and that's 32:02 going to happen again because we haven't 32:04 learned the lesson from from and you 32:06 know Most economists didn't see that or 32:09 didn't didn't understand that at the 32:11 time 32:11 >> or I mean is it a lesson or is it like 32:14 I'm I'm I'm starting to accept that uh 32:17 if you control the debt you have the 32:19 power and if you understand the debt you 32:21 probably make money on the way up and on 32:23 the way down. 32:24 >> Sure. you know, I mean, and so my book 32:26 is called The Global Casino precisely 32:29 because it's all about gambling and all 32:31 about speculating 32:33 >> and we live in a world of to almost 32:35 total deregulation 32:37 um you know of where there are almost no 32:40 rules and so speculating is the quickest 32:43 way to make. Why would you want to 32:45 invest in a wind farm in Britain or in 32:49 you know building retrofitting council 32:51 housing when all you have to do is sit 32:54 on your butt and take a bet that 32:56 something's going to happen and just 32:57 money just you know rolls in. So we now 33:00 I mean the dominant for me the dominant 33:03 mode for most capitalists now is 33:04 speculation not real investment and then 33:07 the government sits on its hand and said 33:09 well I can't do anything because I'm you 33:11 know I have no money. 33:14 It's terrifying. 33:15 >> If if we do have another crisis like 33:17 2008 it feels like it would obviously be 33:20 a lot worse because there's a 33:22 considerably more debt. 33:23 >> There's considerably more debt and much 33:25 more exposure and the question is who is 33:28 exposed? You know, we've been noticing 33:30 lately that private credit institutions 33:32 have just popped up from nowhere. These 33:35 are guys who set up companies uh the 33:39 purpose of which is not understood. 33:41 The aims of which are not a bit like the 33:44 South Sea bubble 33:46 and we know they've been lending not 33:48 huge quantities. I think it's about 3 33:50 trillion 1 to 3 trillion you know huge 33:53 quantities of money relative to the 33:55 whole of the US um economy or the global 33:58 economy but nevertheless we don't know 34:00 where that money has gone and and the 34:03 ability of those borrowers to repay so 34:05 that's one area but there's quite 34:08 there's the shadow banking system as 34:09 well because what's happened is 34:11 >> the banking the banking sector has 34:13 evolved to actually operate beyond the 34:17 reach of government regulators of 34:19 central banks and so on. So they operate 34:21 in what I call the sort of stratosphere 34:24 where we really don't know what they're 34:25 doing basically who they're lending to, 34:28 whether and at what rates and whether or 34:30 not you know and and whether they're 34:32 using our pensions for that lending. You 34:34 know these are institutions like Black 34:36 Rockck which you sort of 34:38 >> scoop up people's savings 34:41 >> and have all this cash and need to 34:43 invest it in something in order for 34:45 their for it to be interest bearing for 34:47 it to be revenue bearing. So they lend 34:50 out this all this cash that they've 34:52 collected to god knows whom you know in 34:55 order to get some interest back on it. 34:57 Um so so I I think it's extremely 35:00 worrying um because of the quantities 35:02 and because of how much of it you know 35:05 is linked to so you know it's it's not 35:08 just does black rock go bust it's what 35:11 happens what happens to all the kind of 35:13 streams around which the money has 35:15 flowed really 35:17 >> is it fixable 35:19 >> yes you know um in my book I argue that 35:23 we have twice transformed the 35:24 international financial system in 1945 35:27 Five, a bunch of economists sat around a 35:29 table at Britain Woods. 35:32 Um, Roosefeld banned the bankers from 35:34 attending the creditors. 35:36 >> Hold on. Is this the book The Creature 35:38 from Czech Islands about? 35:40 >> Which book? 35:41 >> There's a book, The Creature from 35:42 Czechal Island. Wasn't that about 35:44 >> No, that's about the uh 35:45 >> Was that Woods 2? 35:46 >> No, no, no, no. That's about the setting 35:48 up of the Federal Reserve in the United 35:50 States. 35:51 >> Okay. 35:51 >> And it's that story. The bankers were 35:53 all present at that. I think Rothschilds 35:56 and everybody they want to set up a a 35:59 central bank such as the Europeans had 36:01 in in the United States and until 1913 36:05 United States didn't have a central 36:07 bank. So it didn't have a a body that 36:10 could be the lender of last resort for 36:12 example. So that story is a different 36:14 story. Now 45 is Bretton Woods and 45 is 36:17 when uh having 36:20 destroyed the global economy in the 20s 36:22 with the great depression big crash in 36:25 29 then the great depression all of 36:27 which then leads to a catastrophic world 36:29 war the economists sit around the table 36:32 and they say we can't do that again you 36:34 know we're going to manage the system 36:36 and they introduce regulations 36:39 specifically around the movement of 36:40 capital and uh all kind and trade They 36:44 insisted that there should be balances 36:46 between not imbalances between trading 36:49 countries and um it becomes called it's 36:53 called the Bretonwoods architecture and 36:54 it leads to what every economist on the 36:58 left and the right calls the golden age 37:00 of economics 45 to71 there was a golden 37:02 age there were no defaults there were no 37:05 crises u there were trade there were 37:08 trade arguments there were trade 37:09 imbalances they came up but nothing 37:12 serious happened in that time And then 37:13 in 37:14 >> 71, 37:15 >> my friend has a website called what the 37:17 happened in 1971. What happened in 37:20 71 is that President Nixon unilaterally 37:23 and without consulting any of his people 37:26 including his foreign policy advisor 37:29 Kissinger, he doesn't tell Kissinger, 37:31 who's his man dealing with all of the 37:33 rest of the world, that I am going to 37:35 tonight on a Sunday night when the 37:37 cowboy show is over, I'm going to 37:39 announce the United States is destroying 37:41 the international financial 37:42 architecture. It's called the Nixon 37:44 shock. And again, it's a story that was 37:47 kind of buried because at the same time 37:49 he tried to do something with the 37:51 British with the American domestic 37:53 economy and I don't know there was all 37:56 kinds of policies that were accompanying 37:58 that. So that this breakdown of the 38:00 international financial system is seldom 38:02 discussed. I think Nixon was more 38:04 destructive than Trump actually, but he 38:06 never he doesn't get that reputation 38:09 anyway. So then, so what we know is that 38:11 in 45 we'd wrecked the thing and we 38:14 rebuilt it and then in 71 overnight one 38:18 man decides with just three or four 38:20 advisers that he's going to blow it up 38:23 again, you know, and so and then he says 38:25 to the IMF, "Go away and design me a new 38:28 architecture for the world." And the IMF 38:30 says, "Well, yeah, what do you think?" 38:32 And nothing comes of it in the end. You 38:34 know, it gets run by Wall Street 38:36 essentially. So the the world is now in 38:38 my view is what my book is about is 38:40 governed by Wall Street. 38:42 >> This was coming off the gold standard 38:45 >> 1971. Yeah. 38:47 >> Nix is a it wasn't really a gold 38:49 standard. It was the gold standard is 38:51 the 1920s and the 30s. 38:53 >> I thought it was 1971 they he took us 38:55 off the gold standard. What happened was 38:57 that currencies were linked to gold and 38:59 your job as a as a finance minister was 39:02 to keep your currency in balance and you 39:04 had to do that by not building up a 39:07 massive surplus like China has done or 39:10 building up a massive deficit like the 39:12 United States had done because that 39:14 caused an imbalance. You had to keep 39:16 your currency at a value at at a value 39:19 linked to the price of gold. And that 39:22 was a kind of discipline that was that's 39:25 different from the gold standard of the 39:27 1920s and 30s. But I don't want to go 39:29 into how because it's complicated. But 39:31 it was really about currency management. 39:33 Um the gold thing linking it to gold. 39:36 And then they said, "No, don't worry 39:37 about whether your currency is up or 39:39 down. You know, just do as you please. 39:41 Let the markets decide whether it's up 39:43 or down." So we now have a situation, 39:45 you know, where China has built up this 39:47 massive, in my view, quite wicked 39:49 surplus and dumping all their surplus on 39:52 the rest of the world and Britain and 39:54 the United States have massive deficits 39:56 as do other countries. And as a result, 39:59 Peter, you get political tensions. 40:01 People start falling out with each 40:03 other. You know, you look at Canada and 40:05 and the United States right now. You get 40:08 tyrants like Trump erect elected because 40:10 he's going to build a war with Mexico. 40:13 You know, that's why it was so important 40:15 in in in 45 John Maynard Kes. You got to 40:19 manage trade stuff, you know. You can't 40:21 just let it leave it to the market. 40:24 >> Some of the people who listen to my 40:25 podcast and they're not fans of Kees. 40:28 I know the man is kind of denigrated 40:31 around the world very deliberately. I 40:33 mean who knows 40:34 >> is it more because um 40:38 what his idea that you could uh print 40:42 create money to solve uh times of 40:44 economic crisis has actually just become 40:46 the norm and it's to solve any spend 40:48 issue. 40:49 >> Has it been abused as a mechanism? 40:52 >> I mean he's he's definite he did not 40:54 believe you should have deficits. He 40:56 didn't believe you should have a high 40:58 level of debt. He thought it was a bad 40:59 thing. And he explained, "You're going 41:01 to get it if you if you allow your 41:03 economy to collapse. You're going to get 41:04 a deficit. I don't want that." He said, 41:06 "I want to see this happen." That was 41:09 his policy. That was that was his 41:12 monetary policy. Um so he's now what 41:16 happened is but he said you can't do 41:18 that. You can't manage um your spending 41:22 and your income if you just leave it to 41:26 the market because the market, you know, 41:27 the market is is isn't a thing. It's 41:30 just a couple of people taking a bet on 41:32 something. Do you know what I mean? Um 41:35 you got to be a human being and 41:36 intervene and manage this process. Um 41:39 and so he said you've got to manage if 41:41 if if there's a as it was in the 1920s 41:44 when he was writing there's this big 41:46 crater this hole of noneconomic 41:49 activity. People are unemployed 41:52 you know businesses are failing there's 41:55 bankruptcies there's suicides marriages 41:57 are breaking up. There's just this big 41:59 economic crater in the economy. Then the 42:02 government steps in and starts filling 42:04 the crater with investment and jobs and 42:07 it gives opportunities for people to get 42:09 money and to go and spend and do stuff 42:12 and then it brings the economy up to the 42:15 level 42:16 you know uh you filled the crater then 42:19 you don't keep throwing money at it at 42:21 that point because otherwise you'll get 42:23 inflation and and and you'll have too 42:25 much. You've got to you then make sure 42:28 that you keep this imbalance. you don't 42:30 you don't you don't carry on spending 42:32 >> but they have I think so I mean 42:34 certainly since 2008 have we had have we 42:36 had a surplus 42:37 >> so no the point well uh Clinton had a 42:40 surplus in 2000 and it was very damaging 42:43 actually but the point is that yeah no 42:46 we've said we're not going to care about 42:48 this stuff if it goes like that well 42:50 that's the way the market and the market 42:52 you know the market and the thing I I 42:55 loathe most about these market people is 42:58 that they promise us that the market 43:00 will discipline somebody or some 43:02 business if they do wrong and it doesn't 43:05 you know people don't get disciplined 43:08 um 43:09 you know they make more money out of 43:11 gambling and sping they don't get 43:13 disciplined I mean people don't learn 43:16 from it in a sense that and if they do 43:18 make huge losses as they did in 20079 43:22 what happens the taxpayer walks in and 43:24 bails them out 43:25 >> exactly 43:25 >> they don't get disciplined so you know 43:27 what horrified me. I remember watching 43:30 very closely of course in 20078 43:34 um and I thought I watched the bankers 43:36 and the bankers were convinced they were 43:38 going to go to jail. They knew they were 43:40 due due to go to jail 43:43 >> and this was this kind of odd period 43:46 after after 43:48 you know they bailed out Northern Rock 43:50 and they dealt with uh be this is before 43:53 RBS. 43:54 >> I remember the run on Northern Rock. 43:55 >> Yeah. And um 43:58 Gordon Brown says, "Mr. Banker, please 44:00 come into the treasury and help us solve 44:03 this problem, you know, because we know 44:05 that you know understand how the thing 44:07 works." And the bankers think, "Wow, 44:10 yes, sure. I'll come in and help you." 44:12 So after the crisis, we didn't fix the 44:14 system. It it consolidate itself. It 44:18 consolidated itself. It got bigger and 44:20 better really. And then and then we 44:23 blame Kanes for God's sake. You know, 44:25 Kane's had it's not what Kanes wanted at 44:28 all. And when when he is denigrated, 44:30 it's kind of by the forces of evil in my 44:33 view. 44:34 >> People who want control, 44:36 >> people who want the system because, as 44:38 you say, there are loads of people 44:39 making money out of the way it works at 44:41 the moment and speculating and taking 44:44 risks and looting looting. You know, I 44:47 have to say I think the president of the 44:48 United States is looting the account the 44:51 bank accounts of millions of American 44:53 people if with only if only with his 44:55 crypto account is these memes. And today 44:59 the Wall Street Journal tells me that 45:03 uh about a million people have lost $3.4 45:06 billion investing in his um Trump is it 45:10 >> Trump coin? 45:11 >> Trump No, it's the meme. Is it the meme 45:13 that he launched on the day he was 45:14 elected? I thought that was Trump coin. 45:16 >> Well, maybe it's a Trump coin. 45:18 >> Uh, and you know, so kind of 45:22 >> open corruption 45:23 >> and he's not going to do anything about 45:25 managing that. Nobody's So, so it's it's 45:28 a bad old world. 45:30 >> Now, I know that running a business 45:32 means you're always reachable until 45:33 you're not. And the second you miss that 45:35 call, that text, that follow-up, someone 45:38 else picks it up. That's the bit people 45:40 don't think about. You don't just lose 45:41 that customer because you were worse 45:43 than the other guy. You lost them 45:45 because you didn't answer. That's why 45:47 today's episode is brought to you by 45:48 Quo, spelled Quo, the business phone 45:51 system built so you never miss a call. 45:54 Everything lives in one place. Calls, 45:56 texts, voicemails, and your whole team 45:58 can see it. So anyone can pick up a 46:00 conversation, see the full history, and 46:03 reply properly. Instead of just that, 46:05 sorry, who am I speaking to? It sets up 46:07 in minutes on any device. You keep your 46:09 existing number, and you can add people 46:11 as you grow. There's no IT and no 46:13 hassle. And there's a built-in AI agent 46:16 that takes the after hours calls. It 46:17 answers questions, books appointments, 46:19 so the phone's still working when your 46:21 team's gone home. Money is on the line 46:23 here, but you can always say hello with 46:25 Quo. You can try Quo for free, plus get 46:27 20% off your first 6 months when you go 46:30 to quo.com/pete. 46:32 That's quo.com/pete 46:35 p. 46:38 It is not controversial to say that 46:40 there are a growing number of people 46:42 looking at the state of the UK and 46:44 asking some serious questions. What 46:46 happens if taxes keep rising? And what 46:48 happens if this political environment 46:50 becomes even more hostile to 46:52 entrepreneurs and investors? Now I have 46:54 been asking these same questions too 46:56 like why should our entire lives wealth 46:58 and freedom really depend on the 47:00 decisions of one government. Now one 47:02 option is leaving the UK which many have 47:04 already done. Others are exploring 47:06 second residencies or additional 47:08 passports. Now, even if you never intend 47:10 to leave, having a plan B can give you 47:13 options. And this is where Expat Money 47:14 comes in. They help freedomminded 47:17 families and investors explore second 47:19 residencies and citizenships, 47:21 international property, precious metals, 47:23 offshore investments, and legal 47:25 structures. And the objective is simple. 47:27 To make sure you and your family are not 47:30 completely beholdened to the whims of 47:32 any single government or system. Now, 47:34 ExpatMoney has put together a free 47:36 report explaining how to begin creating 47:38 your own plan B. And you can get this 47:40 report at expatmoney.com/peter. 47:43 That is expatoney.com/pr. 47:51 I I worry about this a lot because I I 47:54 feel like over the last few years we 47:57 >> you know we've always had infla I've 47:59 always had to deal with inflation but 48:00 we've always been able to someway build 48:02 an economy that grows outgrows the 48:04 inflation numbers but 48:05 >> I feel like a lot of people are 48:06 struggling now and I think it can get a 48:08 lot worse. 48:09 >> Um and as you rightly said we've got you 48:11 know political discontent. I probably 48:13 would if I vote I probably vote for a 48:15 different side of the bird than you 48:17 would. 48:18 >> Yeah. But I'm I'm filled with so little 48:20 confidence that there's anyone out there 48:22 who actually does want to fix this. 48:24 >> Yeah. 48:24 >> Because I I think the solution I don't 48:28 think the country has a stomach for it. 48:29 >> Yeah. I mean I you know I'm watching 48:32 this with horror. You know we're going 48:34 to have a fascist president of France 48:37 very soon. Mrs. Le Pen is a fascist. 48:41 >> Um and 48:42 >> a fascist or a nationalist. 48:44 >> She's a nationalist. 48:46 And what happens with nationalists and I 48:47 grew up under nationalists Peter in 48:49 South Africa 48:50 >> what happens is you know they they 48:52 accumulate power and they turn into bad 48:55 guys really bad guys but I mean we I 48:57 don't want to have an argument about 48:59 that 49:00 >> because I think people's anger and their 49:03 frustration and and their 49:06 disillusionment with governments is 49:08 absolutely justified and I'm I 49:11 understand fully that you know and but 49:13 the problem is the way it's being 49:15 channeled. You know, Trump said, "Vote 49:18 for me and I'll build a wall against 49:20 Mexico, and I'll look after you, the 49:23 small guy, the little guy, 49:24 >> and I won't start any more wars, 49:26 >> and I'm not going to start any more 49:28 wars." And here he is. He's reneged on 49:30 everything, and and he's hurting he's 49:33 hurting the American people. Now, as far 49:35 as I'm concerned, you know, that's what 49:37 can happen when you have a guy standing 49:39 for these unattainable kind of 49:42 nationalist ideals. he owns into he 49:45 turns into this big bad guy and I I'm 49:48 Mrs. Le Pen will be the same ultimately. 49:51 And the point is we saw this in the 49:53 1930s. You know, we got Hitler in 49:56 Germany in the 1930s because exactly the 49:59 same thing happened then. We had a 50:01 massive debt crisis in 1929. A massive 50:04 crash. Then a deep depression. People 50:07 lost their jobs. They lost their homes. 50:09 They lost hope. And they turned to a 50:11 strong man because the strong man is 50:14 going to defend them. And what does the 50:16 strong man do? He takes them into a 50:18 catastrophic war and millions of them 50:20 die. So you know the problem is what do 50:23 we do with this frustration and this 50:25 anger? In my view it should be channeled 50:27 into how can we fix this problem? How 50:30 can we deal with the financial system? 50:32 How can we deal with the bankers? 50:33 Because the bankers are a lot of the 50:35 problem. How can we begin to manage our 50:37 economies to serve the interests of the 50:39 people and not to serve the interests of 50:41 Wall Street. That's what I think we 50:43 should be talking about. 50:45 >> How do we do that? 50:46 I mean, one of the reasons I don't vote 50:47 anymore is I don't think it matters if 50:50 they come in from the left or the right, 50:51 they seem to make promises they they 50:53 never keep. 50:54 >> I think I tell you what's happened. When 50:56 I was a young woman, and I'm because I'm 50:58 quite an old lady now. 50:59 >> You're not that much older than me, are 51:00 you? 51:01 >> No, I'm I'm 80 next year, but when I was 51:04 my father, 51:05 >> when I was in my 20ies, I remember being 51:08 very impressed with Parliament, you 51:11 know, and I thought, gosh, at those 51:12 people, they're doing good works. In 51:14 those days they had political power. 51:17 >> They made decisions about the allocation 51:19 of public resources to in Britain. And 51:23 then Mrs. Thatcher comes along. She 51:25 says, "No, let's privatize everything." 51:27 So they take energy, water, flog all the 51:31 water, flog all the energy, fogg 51:32 everything we've got, give it to the 51:34 private sector. They're going to run it. 51:36 Now T's water is running the water 51:38 system and our politicians are helpless 51:40 and we blame them. Right now I'm think I 51:44 I I would nationalize T's water 51:46 tomorrow. 51:47 >> Well, Bernham wanted to, didn't he? He 51:48 came back and said it'll be too 51:49 expensive now. 51:50 >> Yeah, because we have no money, which is 51:52 the other lie, basically. Of course, he 51:55 listens to all those economists who tell 51:57 them, you know, there's if there was to 51:59 be a crisis tomorrow, we'd find money. 52:01 If there's going to be a war against 52:02 Russia, we'll find the money, right? 52:04 There is the money, but we just choose 52:06 not to spend it on nationalizing the 52:09 water companies so people can get decent 52:11 clean water and our rivers can be 52:13 cleaned up. And so that's for me that's 52:16 the problem. The economists, the central 52:18 bankers, all those officials, the 52:19 treasury are saying there is no money. 52:22 And the government has, you know, the 52:23 government has something which no 52:25 corporate has, which is that behind the 52:28 treasury there are 30 million taxpayers. 52:31 Are you a taxpayer, Peter? 52:33 I'm a high taxpayer. 52:35 >> Yeah. I can't avoid paying my taxes, 52:37 right? And and I don't just pay my 52:39 income taxes or my I pay other taxes all 52:42 the time, right? And I must do that by 52:45 law because, you know, I'm not like 52:47 Amazon. I can get caught and go to jail. 52:50 So, so the government has legal legally 52:53 enforced sources of income. And that 52:56 makes the central bank a very powerful 52:59 creditor because that money is coming in 53:01 not just this year but next year, the 53:05 year after and in 30 years time indeed 53:07 in a 100 years time this institution 53:10 will still be collecting revenues from 53:13 taxpayers. That gives this institution 53:15 the power to create new money, new 53:18 credit which could be used to clean up 53:21 our rivers for example. But so when they 53:24 say oh there is no money they are I mean 53:28 it's it's called austerity it's it's a 53:30 kind of neo it's called neoliberal 53:33 economic thinking but it's a very 53:35 defeist type of economic policy but the 53:38 people who do well out of it are the 53:40 creditors. 53:40 >> But is it is the worry of taking on more 53:43 debt at a time where we've got low 53:45 productivity we've got stagnation 53:48 stagnated growth. If we were if we had 53:51 high growth, we had four 5% growth, 53:53 maybe they would be more confident. Are 53:55 they worried about the bond market re 53:56 the action? 53:57 >> We have low productivity, Peter, because 53:59 we have low investment. If you don't 54:01 invest in your economy, if you're not 54:03 innovating, if you're not, you know, 54:05 improving the way you work at things, of 54:08 course you've got low product. to blame 54:11 the lack of money on low productivity 54:13 when actually it's the fact that you 54:15 haven't invested that has led to low 54:17 productivity is completely wrong. 54:19 >> This is the this says to me that the 54:21 entire institution of government is just 54:23 failing on its mandate. 54:25 >> Yeah. And that's thank to the way in 54:28 which you know as I say on the one hand 54:30 they they've been hollowed out of power. 54:33 Parliament has been hollowed out. Who 54:35 wants to be an MP today? I mean, I know 54:38 some people are really desperate to be 54:39 in, but it's not really something you 54:41 aspire to because it's, you know, 54:44 politically weak position to be in. Um, 54:47 and then you have the economists, the 54:49 London School of Economics, the 54:51 Treasury, and the Bank of England saying 54:53 to these politicians, and our 54:55 politicians are ordinary people like us, 54:57 saying, "Sorry, but you know, you can't 54:59 do this. There's no money." And it and 55:01 it's that lie which I think is so which 55:05 is what I think is losing l you is 55:09 leading to the rise of authoritarianism. 55:11 And these guys are sitting there saying 55:13 we don't know why everybody's so angry. 55:15 We don't know why the right wing are 55:17 doing so well. We don't know why Mrs. Le 55:19 Pen is winning. We don't know why 55:21 President Trump became the president. 55:23 You know, they honestly don't know. They 55:25 don't believe. They can't see it. Sorry, 55:27 I'm 55:28 >> No, it's fine. It's fine. And it's quite 55:29 interesting because if I did vote 55:32 >> Yes. 55:33 >> And if I voted in France, I would be one 55:36 of the people at least listening to Le 55:38 Pen. 55:38 >> Yeah. 55:38 >> As I have listened to Nigel Faraji. I 55:41 wouldn't vote for Nigel though. Um I've 55:44 only if the times when I did vote, I did 55:46 vote conservative and I'm actually a fan 55:48 of Margaret Thatcher. But but I am one 55:50 of those people who's not sure on all of 55:52 the privatization. 55:53 >> Yeah. 55:53 >> I think privatizing things like British 55:55 Airways is a good idea. Yeah. I don't 55:57 think privatizing things like Royal Mail 55:59 is a good idea or the waters because and 56:01 having foreign people own our waters and 56:02 not care what is in it. And my 56:04 libertarian friends and my uh uh 56:07 libertarian friends will be like 56:09 shouting at me and in the comments 56:11 going, "Pe, you you're a disgrace, but I 56:13 I just I understand the power of 56:15 corporate greed." 56:16 >> Yeah. 56:17 >> And sometimes it doesn't work in the 56:18 best interest of the public. 56:20 >> Um but at the same time, I I and I see 56:23 what you're saying about, you know, they 56:25 they can create more money. they can 56:26 they can 56:27 >> fix the water. But my worry with that is 56:30 is that 56:31 >> the debt interest now is so high, they 56:33 will still have to pay that. 56:35 >> Yeah. 56:35 >> At a time where our economy isn't 56:37 growing and real wages are falling. And 56:39 so this it's like it's just a big mess. 56:41 >> Yeah. 56:42 >> The whole thing's a mess. 56:43 >> So in my view, what we have to do is get 56:45 a grip on the Bank of England. 56:46 >> Don't you need to go and get them to 56:47 cancel the debt again? You now bashing 56:49 on doors. 56:50 >> And not our debt. I mean the poor 56:54 African countries, they've got masses of 56:55 external debt and that's a very 56:57 different problem from what from our 56:59 debt. Our debt's not really a problem. 57:01 >> No, we I would go and see the Bank of 57:03 England. I think I might 57:05 appoint a new Bank of England governor 57:08 and I would say look your mandate is not 57:10 sufficient. Your mandate is inflation. 57:14 Who is hurt by inflation? You might be 57:16 in hurt when your the prices of goods in 57:19 this in the supermarkets go up and so 57:21 on. But the people who are most hurt by 57:24 inflation are creditors because if you 57:26 own a debt, if you if you if you've lent 57:29 you know a million pounds to somebody 57:31 and prices rise and incomes rise and 57:34 like this and the value of money rises, 57:37 the value of your debt falls. So the 57:39 creditors hate inflation. They would 57:42 rather have a situation in which prices 57:45 fall, incomes fall, investment falls, 57:48 and the value of the debt goes up, you 57:51 know, and because that's how the system 57:53 works. So, we have a a monetary policy 57:57 aimed at looking after the interests of 57:59 creditors only. 58:00 >> You mean we have a system that benefits 58:02 the rich? 58:03 >> Yes. Because the rich are the ones that 58:04 lend money and the banks and the um 58:07 private equity firms and private credit 58:10 firms, they're the ones Yeah. And and 58:12 and and the economy is run to there's 58:16 millions of debtors. There's only 58:18 thousands of these guys, right? You 58:20 know, and and Bank of England does not 58:23 care about the debtors. So my first job 58:25 would be to say, "Sorry, we want a new 58:27 mandate for the Bank of England." I 58:29 mean, I'm talking pie in the sky stuff. 58:30 Nobody's going to elect me to do this. 58:33 But, you know, we need um a new 58:35 governor. We need a new mandate. The the 58:38 priority is not going to be inflation 58:41 because while we think inflation is a 58:43 bad thing, we know how good it is for 58:45 the the creditors. The priority is going 58:47 to be to lower interest rates and enable 58:51 the government to invest money in the 58:53 real economy and generate income for 58:56 everybody. But that that would also then 58:58 require people within government knowing 59:00 where to invest the money and invest it 59:02 while they don't have the best track 59:04 record recently. 59:05 >> No. So the the point is the whole idea 59:08 in the past was let foreigners come in 59:10 here and and invest. I would say look 59:12 the first thing I would say is a lot of 59:14 our housing stock is very old is out of 59:16 date Victoria and I I live in one old 59:19 house. It's very drafty. My energy bills 59:22 are really high. Number one is retrofit 59:25 all of the housing stock of the British 59:27 Isles. And that means you got to hire 59:29 laborers, you've got to hire architects, 59:31 you've got to hire plumbers, you've got 59:32 to hire uh plasterers, you've got to, 59:35 you know, and those are manual jobs and 59:37 there's thousands and thousands of jobs 59:40 just in that project. And then what do 59:43 you do? You protect us from what's 59:45 coming. big floods, big drought and you 59:48 know which is causing houses in London 59:52 for example to subside. Subsidance is 59:54 becoming an issue because of the 59:55 droughts. Floods are an issue. So you 59:58 could help against all of that while at 1:00:00 the same time employing people who get 1:00:02 income and then pay taxes and send it 1:00:05 back to the government and balance the 1:00:07 books. So, you know, to balance the 1:00:09 books, to reduce the deficit, you've got 1:00:11 to invest in the economy, and there's 1:00:14 lots of work that has to be done. Let me 1:00:16 tell you, there's no shortage of work 1:00:18 that has to be done in our economy. 1:00:20 >> Well, that would be that would require 1:00:21 them then pointing the money in the 1:00:23 right place. Um, yeah, 1:00:24 >> you know, we we have a large welfare 1:00:26 state at the moment. Yeah. 1:00:28 >> Some people want to take the pensions 1:00:29 away, the triple lock. Oh, 1:00:31 >> that's again the story. We have no 1:00:33 money. You know, our p I'm a pensioner. 1:00:36 I pay my taxes. I get a pension, but I 1:00:39 still pay taxes. I'm still making a 1:00:41 contrib. And furthermore, I not only get 1:00:43 a pension, I actually have to because my 1:00:45 pension, the state pension is so low, I 1:00:48 actually work hard and I have additional 1:00:50 income and I pay taxes on that and I 1:00:53 dread it when HMRC comes to my door 1:00:55 because I know I'm going to have to hand 1:00:56 over thousands of pounds to them. So, so 1:00:59 we pensioners are not draining the 1:01:01 economy of the of of resources. The 1:01:04 problem is that all those young people 1:01:06 like my grandchildren don't know where 1:01:09 to go to look for a job. They're the 1:01:11 ones that the worry. Get get that going 1:01:14 then pensions will fall as a share of of 1:01:16 the nation's, you know, budget. That's 1:01:19 all. 1:01:19 >> I can tell it's making you angry. Yeah, 1:01:21 it does make me angry because it's 1:01:23 totally unnecessary and it's you know 1:01:25 what makes me angry is the arrogance of 1:01:27 this of the economists, the arrogance of 1:01:30 the London School of Economics, the 1:01:32 arrogance of all those Treasury 1:01:33 officials and the arrogance of the Bank 1:01:35 of England staff really. They think they 1:01:37 know it all, but they are creating the 1:01:39 conditions in which we get people like 1:01:42 Mrs. Le Pen and President Trump and they 1:01:45 don't think they're responsible. They 1:01:47 just think it's because people are 1:01:48 naturally wow people just get badteered 1:01:51 for nothing. That's that's ridiculous. 1:01:53 >> The the arrogance that you talk about of 1:01:56 these people 1:01:57 >> um 1:01:58 >> how does that manifest itself? How do 1:02:00 you mean? 1:02:01 >> Oh well I mean I if you try and talk to 1:02:05 them if you try and say look first of 1:02:08 all they only allow certain people to 1:02:11 discuss the economy. 1:02:13 >> You have you listened to the BBC lately? 1:02:16 The BBC won't. No, 1:02:17 >> no, you don't. Well, I've 1:02:18 >> given up on the BBC. 1:02:19 >> Lots of people have given up on the BBC, 1:02:21 but no radical economist asking for an 1:02:24 alternative system is allowed to get on 1:02:26 the BBC. 1:02:27 >> Who's a good radical economist? Who do 1:02:28 you like? 1:02:29 >> Well, there are people like Professor 1:02:30 Mariana Matsucato and she argues that 1:02:33 the state is entrepreneurial. You know, 1:02:36 she argues that Mr. Tim Cook or Mr. 1:02:40 What's was he called? The founder of 1:02:41 Apple, 1:02:42 >> Steve Jobs. Steve Jobs did not invent 1:02:44 the Apple phone. That was invented 1:02:46 inside the military, inside a p publicly 1:02:50 financed taxpayerbacked defense industry 1:02:52 in the United States. They worked out 1:02:55 what's the stuff called that enables you 1:02:57 to track maps and 1:03:00 >> oh GPS. 1:03:01 >> GPS that was invented by the by the 1:03:04 public sector taxpayerbacked investor 1:03:06 which was the American state, right? And 1:03:09 the same applies to the British state. 1:03:11 There's lots goes on, you know, the 1:03:13 invention of new medicines, the the 1:03:15 inventions of new procedures within 1:03:17 within the NHS 1:03:18 >> of Concord, the British state working 1:03:20 with the British. 1:03:21 >> Yeah. I mean, I'm not saying that the 1:03:23 British state can run the all of the can 1:03:25 do things. 1:03:26 >> It can, but you see it. What I'm trying 1:03:28 to say is that Mariana Matsucatu is an a 1:03:32 a professor of economics who has argued 1:03:35 that the state is like an entrep can be 1:03:37 entrepreneurial and was in the case of 1:03:39 the Apple iPhone and the internet. All 1:03:42 of that came out of public spending and 1:03:45 she's I don't think that she uh is 1:03:48 invited into the treasury for example. 1:03:51 Um, and there are plenty of other 1:03:52 economists who, and I, you know, I I 1:03:54 don't want to get them into 1:03:55 difficulties, but but really who could, 1:03:58 um, and of course, a lot of people don't 1:04:00 want to be branded as radical because 1:04:01 then they really will never be invited 1:04:04 to. 1:04:04 >> I'd like to be a radical. I Yeah, it's 1:04:07 it just doesn't seem that the the state 1:04:09 in invests in that way now. It it puts 1:04:11 money into Yeah. welfare or it puts 1:04:14 money into free stuff, cheaper stuff, or 1:04:17 it legislates for higher taxes or it 1:04:20 legislates for free like cheap buses. It 1:04:23 keeps to me it keeps trying to fix the 1:04:26 affordability problem rather than create 1:04:29 like creating wealth. 1:04:30 >> Yeah. 1:04:31 >> And to me that to just 1:04:33 >> So that's because Mrs. Thatcher, your 1:04:36 heroine, was one of those who said, 1:04:37 "We've got to let the private sector run 1:04:39 the economy." And then the public sector 1:04:41 has got to just be left with all the the 1:04:44 problems basically. You know, let 1:04:47 because the private sector does rule and 1:04:48 look after old people with Alzheimer's. 1:04:51 No, they the market doesn't really think 1:04:53 that that's a viable thing to do. So, 1:04:56 let the state do that. Okay? Let the 1:04:58 state look after little babies, you 1:05:00 know, in families where there's drugs 1:05:01 and all that. let the state look after 1:05:03 kids who are in care. We in the market 1:05:05 don't want to do that sort of stuff 1:05:07 really. It's not profitable. And so we 1:05:10 the state gets left with all of this 1:05:12 work which is pretty essential for us 1:05:14 and for our well-being. And it and we 1:05:17 and the state has not got the for 1:05:19 example the state is not in a position 1:05:21 to clean the rivers and to clean up the 1:05:24 water system because everything it's 1:05:26 been because it's been privatized. It's 1:05:28 not in a position and due to its own 1:05:31 fault, it's like cutting off your own 1:05:32 legs. Actually, as you say, the royal 1:05:34 male is run by a Czech billionaire. And 1:05:36 so, for example, I've been I'm really 1:05:39 annoyed my my postman no longer knocks 1:05:42 on the door when he's delivering a 1:05:44 parcel or she's delivering a parcel 1:05:47 because she's been told she shouldn't 1:05:48 waste time knocking on the door and 1:05:49 waiting for me to open the door. And so 1:05:51 the other day when I was expecting 1:05:53 medication, 1:05:54 she nobody knocked on the door but they 1:05:57 left a note to say we tried to contact 1:05:59 you and your medication was blah blah. 1:06:01 Do you know what I mean? This is 1:06:02 happening because the private sector 1:06:04 doesn't want to spend money on you know 1:06:06 ensuring that people get their 1:06:08 medication through the post. 1:06:09 >> There must be a halfway house though. Um 1:06:12 I am a conservative and I've listened to 1:06:14 your points and I've resisted start an 1:06:16 argument cuz I quite like you. I don't 1:06:18 really want to have a political debate 1:06:19 with you. have too many of those. 1:06:21 >> Yeah. 1:06:21 >> U but I think I do think there's an 1:06:23 important role for the private sector 1:06:25 and 1:06:26 >> we agree on that Peter I and so does 1:06:28 Kanes. The thing about Kanes is he's 1:06:31 derided from the left as well as the 1:06:33 right because the left say that he 1:06:35 wasn't a Marxist really. He wasn't no he 1:06:39 was very much in leave the market to do 1:06:41 what the market can do best and I'm I'm 1:06:44 with you on that. But there's a whole 1:06:46 lot when the market fails and that's our 1:06:49 problem because the biggest problem 1:06:52 Peter is is is not the market in even 1:06:55 the market in water. The biggest problem 1:06:57 is the market in money you know because 1:07:00 the market in money 1:07:02 you can't marketize money. Money is a 1:07:05 promise to pay. I promise to pay. If you 1:07:07 if you've got a loan for £3 million, you 1:07:10 signed that contract and the money 1:07:13 appears in your bank, you've got to pay 1:07:15 it back again. Now, if the the £3 1:07:17 million is paid to 1:07:20 Mr. Jones in Australia, how do you know 1:07:23 you're going to get it back again? 1:07:24 Because the currency is going to change. 1:07:27 Uh he might, you know, end up committing 1:07:30 suicide or something. When you going to 1:07:31 get your money back? There's no way of 1:07:33 enforcing what goes on in Australia. But 1:07:36 we agreed to deregulate the financial 1:07:39 system so that people could lend 1:07:40 acrossboard. I remember going to Hungary 1:07:43 at the height of the crisis when a bunch 1:07:45 of Irish people had left Dublin because 1:07:48 housing was unaffordable in Dublin and 1:07:51 they were living in Budapest and they 1:07:54 wanted to buy flats and live in them. So 1:07:57 they borrowed money from the Austrians, 1:07:59 right? Oh, and the Austrians were 1:08:00 offering them a good deal. They got a 1:08:02 fantastic. Then suddenly there was the 1:08:04 Euro zone crisis. Voom, the Austrian 1:08:07 currency did this and the Hungarian 1:08:08 currency did that and these poor old 1:08:11 Irish people were in deep trouble. So 1:08:14 that's why crossing boundaries with 1:08:18 money with in the market of money is so 1:08:21 dangerous for society. But we decided in 1:08:25 after the 1970s that we were going to do 1:08:27 that and we're living with the 1:08:29 consequences. 1:08:30 >> Yeah. There's no one doing that. 1:08:33 >> There's no one doing that. They're not 1:08:34 going to stop the lending now 1:08:35 internationally. There's too much 1:08:37 crossber tax. 1:08:38 >> Well, you know what's going to stop it? 1:08:39 I'm afraid another catastrophic world 1:08:41 war. Yeah. More protectionism, more 1:08:44 right-wing nationalism. People are going 1:08:46 to put up the barriers. China already 1:08:48 has barriers. You can't just throw money 1:08:50 at China. You just can't you can't just 1:08:52 take money out of China. But it's going 1:08:54 to get worse. Mrs. Le Pen is going to 1:08:56 say, "Let's look after the French." Just 1:08:58 as Mr. Trump said, "Let's look after the 1:09:00 Americans. Let's put up barriers against 1:09:02 Canada." And blah. You're going to get 1:09:04 much more of that. And then you're going 1:09:06 to get another catastrophic world war. 1:09:09 Then we'll say, "Oh dear, we messed up. 1:09:12 Let's fix the system." 1:09:13 >> Do Do you worry about nationalism itself 1:09:15 or what comes with nationalism? Because 1:09:18 I'm quite proud. 1:09:19 >> No, no. I I I I'm Me too. I'm I'm also 1:09:23 proud. I'm a South African that's become 1:09:25 a Britain. I'm very proud to be a 1:09:27 British person and and and but that's 1:09:30 not nationalism if you think I mean when 1:09:32 I grew up 1:09:34 under Africana nationalists in South 1:09:36 Africa 1:09:37 >> and they had this sense that they were 1:09:40 superior to everybody else you know to 1:09:43 English people to other white people but 1:09:45 particularly to black people and they 1:09:48 were extraordinarily racist um you know 1:09:50 the Hitler was anti-semite he would 1:09:53 blame all the Jews for something and was 1:09:56 terribly unfair and and and the and the 1:09:58 South Africans treated black people as 1:10:01 if they weren't human beings, you know, 1:10:03 and when you go to South Africa today, 1:10:05 it's a very very different story and you 1:10:07 see how wonderful these human beings are 1:10:09 just as we all are. So there is a 1:10:12 problem with the kind of nationalism 1:10:14 that turns into racism and anti-semitism 1:10:18 and then that what that does is to fuel 1:10:22 differences between people and when you 1:10:24 fuel differences between people you have 1:10:26 you start fighting and the next thing 1:10:28 you're at war and the next thing it's a 1:10:31 global war. 1:10:32 >> But isn't nationalism in some ways 1:10:35 putting your country first and the 1:10:37 people of your country first? Naturally, 1:10:39 if you're doing that, 1:10:41 >> you're going to be building perhaps 1:10:42 people who've come in as immigrants 1:10:44 second and it can be therefore to be can 1:10:48 you in under that framework 1:10:50 >> people will naturally call you a racist 1:10:52 if you're nationalist. 1:10:53 >> No. So the point is you know it's a kind 1:10:56 of balance thing Peter because what I 1:10:59 think as you do the absolute priority is 1:11:02 to look after the domestic economy. If 1:11:04 I'm an elected politician, my job is to 1:11:06 look here. 1:11:07 >> But I also mean the domestic people 1:11:08 >> and the domestic people. And I want and 1:11:10 I, you know, I want boundaries, you 1:11:13 know, I'm not we have boundaries all 1:11:15 around our country. You know, we don't 1:11:17 allow a rotten chicken to come. We I 1:11:20 hope we not this talk about we import 1:11:23 eggs which are give give us salmonella. 1:11:27 I hope that's not the case. you know, we 1:11:29 have but we've actually cut back on all 1:11:32 of that management of the borders. We 1:11:35 must manage our borders and there's no 1:11:37 question in my mind. That doesn't mean 1:11:39 say we must be unwelcome to everybody 1:11:41 because you know our population is 1:11:43 getting old and we need young people to 1:11:44 come and work in the NHS. But we've got 1:11:47 to manage it and I'm not against that. 1:11:49 And I'm with you that instead of us 1:11:51 focusing on the global economy, we 1:11:54 should be focusing on the domestic 1:11:56 economy. We should be our politicians 1:11:57 should be saying the most important 1:11:59 thing is we should grow here and I'm 1:12:02 going to do everything necessary to make 1:12:05 sure that we grow here. I'm going to 1:12:06 ensure that Amazon pay taxes here for a 1:12:08 start so that I can pay for those 1:12:10 pensions. I'm going to make sure that uh 1:12:12 they don't just get away with money 1:12:14 cheating and all of that. I'm going to 1:12:16 make sure the banks are very careful 1:12:18 that whom they give loans to. Do they 1:12:20 give loans for productive activity or do 1:12:22 they give it for speculative activity? 1:12:24 If they're giving for speculators, I'm 1:12:25 going to close them down. You know, I'm 1:12:27 going to make sure that the Bank of 1:12:28 England keeps interest rates low so 1:12:30 little businessmen can start up new we 1:12:33 could have a thriving private sector. 1:12:35 Let's focus on the domestic economy. And 1:12:37 it's our it's it's the fact that we've 1:12:39 been told no, don't worry about that. 1:12:41 Don't worry about having for example gas 1:12:44 storage facilities in Britain. We can 1:12:46 always get it from the markets. the 1:12:48 inter suddenly suddenly we there's a 1:12:50 shortage of gas and there's we're coming 1:12:52 to import it and the price is very high 1:12:54 and now we're no no in the old days we 1:12:57 used to have buffer stocks 1:12:59 >> bring back buffer stocks so that when 1:13:01 prices change because there's a a riot 1:13:04 somewhere or there's a drought somewhere 1:13:05 we don't pay the price for it you know 1:13:08 this is this is prioritizing the 1:13:10 interest of the domestic economy and 1:13:12 it's a very different thing 1:13:13 >> do you have any hope left 1:13:16 >> yeah I have hope because you I I didn't 1:13:19 just run a global debt campaign for the 1:13:23 sake of it. I wanted to see some real 1:13:25 change and I was and everybody says to 1:13:27 me, "You can't do to people." This was 1:13:29 the the age of loads of money, you know, 1:13:32 and and all of that. And people aren't 1:13:35 interested in poor people in African 1:13:37 countries. And anyway, they'll all blame 1:13:39 the Africans because, you know, after 1:13:41 all, those people don't know how to 1:13:42 manage their finances and they're all 1:13:44 corrupt, aren't they? And they said 1:13:46 that's therefore you you won't you won't 1:13:48 succeed. And we said no, we're going to 1:13:50 go and do that. And then we found and 1:13:52 when the government woke up and there 1:13:54 were hundreds of thousands of people 1:13:56 standing up and saying, I think you 1:13:58 should cancel those debts because I 1:14:00 could see they were rotten. The 1:14:02 government was astounded. Blair couldn't 1:14:05 understand it. You know, so I'm very 1:14:07 hopeful because that woman who writes 1:14:09 letters from her kitchen table is loads 1:14:12 of those women. And I'm hopeful that 1:14:14 that they will stand up and do 1:14:16 something. Right. 1:14:17 >> Well, I hope you're right. I've got a 1:14:19 22-year-old son and a 16-year-old 1:14:20 daughter. 1:14:22 >> She's just gone off to the Reading 1:14:24 Festival. So, gosh, petrifies me. Um, 1:14:28 and they have they're in a very 1:14:30 different world from when I was their 1:14:31 age, and I just want them to be have the 1:14:34 opportunity to get a job, buy a house, 1:14:37 have kids. 1:14:38 >> Yeah. 1:14:38 >> And it looks like a steep mountain to 1:14:41 climb at the moment. 1:14:42 >> I'm with you. I have a 18-year-old 1:14:44 grandson. It's exactly the same thing. 1:14:47 >> Absolutely. It's a it's really worrying. 1:14:49 So, we've got to get together and say, 1:14:51 "Look, right, there is a different way 1:14:53 and it's got to be inclusive." You know, 1:14:55 the thing that bothers me most is the 1:14:57 climate. You know, this catastrophe 1:14:59 we're seeing in a pool today. That's not 1:15:00 by accident. We know what's happened is 1:15:03 some glacia is has, you know, cut off 1:15:06 from some mountain or smashed through. 1:15:08 But we knew the glacias were melting. 1:15:10 Why were they melting? because we're 1:15:12 burning fossil fuels and we knew this we 1:15:15 knew this a 100 years ago but we 1:15:16 certainly knew knew it 25 years ago and 1:15:19 we haven't done anything about that and 1:15:21 that's going to be more harmful for our 1:15:24 kids even than this messed up economy 1:15:26 you know 1:15:27 >> I'm not sure if that I I read it was a 1:15:29 geological event that wasn't climate 1:15:32 change 1:15:33 >> thing it's geological in the sense that 1:15:36 you know if you break down the glacias 1:15:38 then you know that's geological isn't I 1:15:41 don't Yeah. No, but I don't know if it 1:15:43 was uh a climate change thing. It could 1:15:46 it could happen happen anyway. 1:15:47 >> Yeah. You know, we can have all kinds of 1:15:49 eruptions. I agree. Which are which are 1:15:51 not climate change. But it's also the 1:15:54 case that we now I live in Suffukk and 1:15:57 the harvest there are failing. Um, and 1:15:59 if you look at the fields of vegetables, 1:16:02 I mean, it's I think the wheat harvest 1:16:04 has been okay this year, but the 1:16:06 vegetable harvest, potatoes, 1:16:09 >> but I don't think the right or the left 1:16:10 have got this climate thing right. So, 1:16:11 but but 1:16:12 >> yeah, 1:16:13 >> I would say I tend to be more with the 1:16:14 libertarian people on the right who have 1:16:16 denied for a long time that climate 1:16:18 change 1:16:19 >> is real or caused by humans. Uh although 1:16:22 I've seen a shift recently to say 1:16:24 someone saying, "Oh, it is, but we need 1:16:26 to use the money to use the technologies 1:16:28 to cope with this." 1:16:30 >> Um to to me, and I get shouted at this, 1:16:33 but I think it's pretty clear from year 1:16:35 to year that the planet's getting 1:16:37 hotter. 1:16:38 >> Whatever your reason is, 1:16:41 >> I my parents didn't would never have 1:16:43 thought about having air conditioning in 1:16:45 the UK for the summer. Everyone I know 1:16:47 is like, I think I need air 1:16:48 conditioning. So, there's something 1:16:49 going on there. I I 1:16:50 >> I agree with you there, but I think the 1:16:52 left swung too much the other way and 1:16:53 made everything too expensive. I think 1:16:55 again all of this stuff is like 1:16:58 >> I think too much of the opinion and the 1:17:01 voice is given to the very loud either 1:17:03 side. 1:17:04 >> Yeah. 1:17:04 >> Who want to have they want to hold the 1:17:06 levers of power 1:17:07 >> and so they're very loud. 1:17:09 >> They shout at each other. 1:17:10 >> Most of us in the middle just get stuck 1:17:12 looking at this fight going 1:17:14 >> I just want to go to the pub. 1:17:16 >> No, I mean that's those are the Those 1:17:20 are the common sense people and we've 1:17:22 got to use our common senses and we've 1:17:24 got to Yeah, I agree with you. There's 1:17:26 too much I mean but for me the 1:17:28 extremisms arises from the anger really. 1:17:31 And how do you how do you stop uh how do 1:17:34 you stop young people from stop being 1:17:36 angry if they can't get a job? I can't 1:17:38 go around saying to my grandson there's 1:17:40 no prospect of a job and I expect you to 1:17:42 be very polite about it and very nice 1:17:44 about and don't fall out with the 1:17:46 neighbors. you know, he's going to get 1:17:47 mad as hell if he can't get a job. 1:17:49 >> Well, he needs meaning in his life. 1:17:50 >> He needs meaning. He needs to feel he 1:17:52 belongs to us, you know, that he has a 1:17:55 role to play and so on. And when they 1:17:56 don't, you you just cannot blame them 1:17:59 for their attitude. And that's but for 1:18:01 me, that's where the extremism comes 1:18:03 from, you know. I mean, he he hasn't 1:18:05 been hurt yet, but there are plenty of 1:18:06 people that have already been hurt. 1:18:10 >> Anyway, Peter, there's good people like 1:18:12 us around. Something 1:18:13 >> Yeah. And and you know, you're from the 1:18:15 left. done probably more from the right 1:18:17 and we've had a great disc. We haven't 1:18:18 had a fight. 1:18:19 >> No, we haven't. 1:18:20 >> We haven't fallen out. We've not thrown 1:18:21 anything at each other. 1:18:22 >> You've been very kind and generous to 1:18:24 me. 1:18:24 >> Well, it's very kind and generous of you 1:18:26 to come in. I was I was really excited 1:18:28 to talk to you because I uh when Chelsea 1:18:31 mentioned your name and I read the 1:18:34 Jubilee 2000, I was like, I remember 1:18:36 this, 1:18:36 >> right? 1:18:37 >> I remember this happening. 1:18:38 >> Yeah. 1:18:39 >> And I now you tell the story of the 1:18:40 people link in arms. I feel like I 1:18:42 remember that as well. Yeah. And 1:18:43 >> so I was like, "No, this would be an 1:18:45 honor to meet you and talk to you." So, 1:18:47 thank you for coming in. I really 1:18:49 appreciate you and everything you've 1:18:50 done. And 1:18:51 >> fingers crossed we get some people like 1:18:53 you maybe in government with some people 1:18:56 maybe like I don't want to say me, but 1:18:59 we can work together and figure this out 1:19:00 because at the moment it's it's a 1:19:02 battleground. I don't like it. I'm kind 1:19:04 of over it. So fingers crossed. 1:19:07 >> Thank you and thank you everyone for 1:19:08 listening. Don't be too mean to us in 1:19:10 the comments. See you soon.