## Around 1:22 1:22 >> I want to learn about how you convince 1:24 some very rich people to cancel 100 1:27 billion of debt. 1:28 >> Right. Yeah. 1:29 >> That's where I want to start. 1:30 >> Okay. 1:31 >> How do you do that? 1:32 >> Well, first of all, you have to identify 1:35 your target. And when I got involved in 1:37 this, I got hired by a bunch of NOS's to 1:39 do this job. and they said, um, we'd 1:42 like you to go to Washington and get the 1:44 debt canled because most of it is 1:46 decided at the IMF and the World Bank 1:48 and the Paris Club and and they all 1:50 gather, all the bankers gather in 1:52 Washington every twice a year. And I 1:54 said, look, I'm a really powerful 1:56 cookie, but even I couldn't do that, you 1:58 know. I said, what you have to do is you 2:00 have to mobilize the public. and they 2:02 say, "Oh, you can't do that because the ## Around 6:50 6:52 going." And then we'd had a big argument 6:53 with Germany, and Germany got massive 6:55 debt relief after the war in 1953, 6:58 but the German uh ambassador in Britain 7:01 said, "No, we didn't." Oh, no, we 7:04 didn't. You don't know what you're 7:06 talking about. You know, so I get 7:08 summoned into the the office, 7:10 international development office, and I 7:13 get told that to take my troops off the 7:15 lawn or something, you know. I mean, it 7:17 was just ridiculous. And I said, "Look, 7:20 go and do the homework. We've done the 7:22 homework. We know a professor who's an 7:24 expert in sovereign debt, and he's he's 7:26 explained to us about the 1952-53 7:29 debt relief deal, negotiated in London, 7:32 by the way. It's called the London 7:33 Agreement for Germany." And we'd started 7:35 talking to the German churches and we'd 7:37 said, "Give German, give African 7:41 children a future in the way that German ## Around 16:42 16:43 borrow 3 million quid to buy a 16:45 one-bedroom flat in London, 16:48 there's no money in the bank. 16:51 What there is is a piece of paper which 16:53 you have to sign which says I promise to 16:55 pay by this date and this is and at this 16:59 interest rate and I'm offering you this 17:01 collateral and with that boom you get 17:04 them 3 million quid no questions asked 17:06 you know 17:07 >> press a button on a computer 17:08 >> sorry 17:09 >> they press a button on a computer 17:10 >> they press button on the computer and 17:11 they try and they do this at the Federal 17:14 Reserve as well and um Bernani gave the 17:18 first ever television interview um ever 17:21 given by a fed governor to this 17:23 wonderful guy Scott P who's just been 17:25 sacked by the new owners of whatever 17:30 uh institution he was part of. But Beni 17:33 gave this interview and they said to ## Around 26:02 26:02 >> and they're they too are sitting on 26:04 their hand saying nothing to do with us. 26:06 You know, it was one I loved the Queen 26:08 of England in in whenever it was 2007 89 26:12 saying to the London School of 26:14 Economics, why did you guys not predict 26:16 this crisis? And they were totally 26:19 annoyed, afronted that you should even 26:21 ask. It's not their business to to 26:23 predict a crisis, you know, they they're 26:25 doing some theoretical stuff that that 26:28 they got their PhD for and that they've 26:30 done very well in. and what don't 26:33 involve me in the messy business and how 26:35 the economy is run but they are the 26:37 architects of that that economy 26:39 >> you predicted it 26:41 >> yes and I predicted it because I'd been 26:43 working on sovereign debt I was in a 26:45 very privileged position you know I was 26:47 like it was an eagle-eyed view of the 26:49 world and and my pals at home were just ## Around 30:11 30:12 potential second crisis like that 30:13 coming? That's what I'm worried about. 30:15 >> Yeah, it's imminent. 30:16 >> It's imminent. 30:17 >> Yeah. 30:19 I mean I 30:19 >> even it could be a couple of years 30:21 >> and and you know I couldn't get it right 30:23 last time and I can't I mean if you can 30:25 get the timing right then as you know 30:27 you could make loads of money 30:29 >> but if I were if I had a lot of money to 30:31 bet now I would bet on it and people are 30:34 I mean on is it Kelshi and uh 30:37 >> and these other poly market I think it 30:39 is 30:40 >> they're betting on it all um and you 30:42 know lots of people are predicting and 30:44 the thing is persevering and it's been 30:48 persevering mainly because of stock 30:49 market delusionism. I mean, I've never 30:52 understood the stock market and I don't ## Around 33:37 33:39 purpose of which is not understood. 33:41 The aims of which are not a bit like the 33:44 South Sea bubble 33:46 and we know they've been lending not 33:48 huge quantities. I think it's about 3 33:50 trillion 1 to 3 trillion you know huge 33:53 quantities of money relative to the 33:55 whole of the US um economy or the global 33:58 economy but nevertheless we don't know 34:00 where that money has gone and and the 34:03 ability of those borrowers to repay so 34:05 that's one area but there's quite 34:08 there's the shadow banking system as 34:09 well because what's happened is 34:11 >> the banking the banking sector has 34:13 evolved to actually operate beyond the 34:17 reach of government regulators of 34:19 central banks and so on. So they operate 34:21 in what I call the sort of stratosphere 34:24 where we really don't know what they're 34:25 doing basically who they're lending to, 34:28 whether and at what rates and whether or ## Around 37:15 37:15 >> my friend has a website called what the 37:17 happened in 1971. What happened in 37:20 71 is that President Nixon unilaterally 37:23 and without consulting any of his people 37:26 including his foreign policy advisor 37:29 Kissinger, he doesn't tell Kissinger, 37:31 who's his man dealing with all of the 37:33 rest of the world, that I am going to 37:35 tonight on a Sunday night when the 37:37 cowboy show is over, I'm going to 37:39 announce the United States is destroying 37:41 the international financial 37:42 architecture. It's called the Nixon 37:44 shock. And again, it's a story that was 37:47 kind of buried because at the same time 37:49 he tried to do something with the 37:51 British with the American domestic 37:53 economy and I don't know there was all 37:56 kinds of policies that were accompanying 37:58 that. So that this breakdown of the 38:00 international financial system is seldom 38:02 discussed. I think Nixon was more ## Around 43:15 43:16 from it in a sense that and if they do 43:18 make huge losses as they did in 20079 43:22 what happens the taxpayer walks in and 43:24 bails them out 43:25 >> exactly 43:25 >> they don't get disciplined so you know 43:27 what horrified me. I remember watching 43:30 very closely of course in 20078 43:34 um and I thought I watched the bankers 43:36 and the bankers were convinced they were 43:38 going to go to jail. They knew they were 43:40 due due to go to jail 43:43 >> and this was this kind of odd period 43:46 after after 43:48 you know they bailed out Northern Rock 43:50 and they dealt with uh be this is before 43:53 RBS. 43:54 >> I remember the run on Northern Rock. 43:55 >> Yeah. And um 43:58 Gordon Brown says, "Mr. Banker, please 44:00 come into the treasury and help us solve 44:03 this problem, you know, because we know ## Around 49:49 49:51 And the point is we saw this in the 49:53 1930s. You know, we got Hitler in 49:56 Germany in the 1930s because exactly the 49:59 same thing happened then. We had a 50:01 massive debt crisis in 1929. A massive 50:04 crash. Then a deep depression. People 50:07 lost their jobs. They lost their homes. 50:09 They lost hope. And they turned to a 50:11 strong man because the strong man is 50:14 going to defend them. And what does the 50:16 strong man do? He takes them into a 50:18 catastrophic war and millions of them 50:20 die. So you know the problem is what do 50:23 we do with this frustration and this 50:25 anger? In my view it should be channeled 50:27 into how can we fix this problem? How 50:30 can we deal with the financial system? 50:32 How can we deal with the bankers? 50:33 Because the bankers are a lot of the 50:35 problem. How can we begin to manage our 50:37 economies to serve the interests of the 50:39 people and not to serve the interests of ## Around 57:05 57:05 appoint a new Bank of England governor 57:08 and I would say look your mandate is not 57:10 sufficient. Your mandate is inflation. 57:14 Who is hurt by inflation? You might be 57:16 in hurt when your the prices of goods in 57:19 this in the supermarkets go up and so 57:21 on. But the people who are most hurt by 57:24 inflation are creditors because if you 57:26 own a debt, if you if you if you've lent 57:29 you know a million pounds to somebody 57:31 and prices rise and incomes rise and 57:34 like this and the value of money rises, 57:37 the value of your debt falls. So the 57:39 creditors hate inflation. They would 57:42 rather have a situation in which prices 57:45 fall, incomes fall, investment falls, 57:48 and the value of the debt goes up, you 57:51 know, and because that's how the system 57:53 works. So, we have a a monetary policy 57:57 aimed at looking after the interests of 57:59 creditors only. 58:00 >> You mean we have a system that benefits ## Around 1:03:00 1:03:00 >> oh GPS. 1:03:01 >> GPS that was invented by the by the 1:03:04 public sector taxpayerbacked investor 1:03:06 which was the American state, right? And 1:03:09 the same applies to the British state. 1:03:11 There's lots goes on, you know, the 1:03:13 invention of new medicines, the the 1:03:15 inventions of new procedures within 1:03:17 within the NHS 1:03:18 >> of Concord, the British state working 1:03:20 with the British. 1:03:21 >> Yeah. I mean, I'm not saying that the 1:03:23 British state can run the all of the can 1:03:25 do things. 1:03:26 >> It can, but you see it. What I'm trying 1:03:28 to say is that Mariana Matsucatu is an a 1:03:32 a professor of economics who has argued 1:03:35 that the state is like an entrep can be 1:03:37 entrepreneurial and was in the case of 1:03:39 the Apple iPhone and the internet. All 1:03:42 of that came out of public spending and 1:03:45 she's I don't think that she uh is ## Around 1:09:22 1:09:23 proud. I'm a South African that's become 1:09:25 a Britain. I'm very proud to be a 1:09:27 British person and and and but that's 1:09:30 not nationalism if you think I mean when 1:09:32 I grew up 1:09:34 under Africana nationalists in South 1:09:36 Africa 1:09:37 >> and they had this sense that they were 1:09:40 superior to everybody else you know to 1:09:43 English people to other white people but 1:09:45 particularly to black people and they 1:09:48 were extraordinarily racist um you know 1:09:50 the Hitler was anti-semite he would 1:09:53 blame all the Jews for something and was 1:09:56 terribly unfair and and and the and the 1:09:58 South Africans treated black people as 1:10:01 if they weren't human beings, you know, 1:10:03 and when you go to South Africa today, 1:10:05 it's a very very different story and you 1:10:07 see how wonderful these human beings are 1:10:09 just as we all are. So there is a 1:10:12 problem with the kind of nationalism ## Around 1:13:16 1:13:16 >> yeah I have hope because you I I didn't 1:13:19 just run a global debt campaign for the 1:13:23 sake of it. I wanted to see some real 1:13:25 change and I was and everybody says to 1:13:27 me, "You can't do to people." This was 1:13:29 the the age of loads of money, you know, 1:13:32 and and all of that. And people aren't 1:13:35 interested in poor people in African 1:13:37 countries. And anyway, they'll all blame 1:13:39 the Africans because, you know, after 1:13:41 all, those people don't know how to 1:13:42 manage their finances and they're all 1:13:44 corrupt, aren't they? And they said 1:13:46 that's therefore you you won't you won't 1:13:48 succeed. And we said no, we're going to 1:13:50 go and do that. And then we found and 1:13:52 when the government woke up and there 1:13:54 were hundreds of thousands of people 1:13:56 standing up and saying, I think you 1:13:58 should cancel those debts because I 1:14:00 could see they were rotten. The 1:14:02 government was astounded. Blair couldn't